Google+ growth stalls to 18 million members?

The viral growth of Google's upcoming social network Google+ appeared to slow down in the past few days even as its user base was expected to reach 18 million by Wednesday (Manila time).

But statistician and genealogy site Ancestry.com founder Paul Allen said growth for Google+ will likely zoom up again once Google starts promoting it.

"The viral growth of Google+ has slowed somewhat over the past few days, but my new-and-improved 1,000 surname model shows that more than 750,000 people joined the site on Monday, bringing the total user base to just under 18 million," he said in a Google+ post.

From a peak of two million signing up in a single day earlier this month, he said that growth had slowed in the last four days.

During the last four days, growth dipped to a low of 4.47 percent since Google started allowing users into Google+ last July 6.

Had the two-million-a-day signups continued, Allen said Google+ would have reached 20 million users by last Sunday night.

On the other hand, Allen said Google has yet to market Google+. Google products are used by more than a billion people, he noted.

Should it start doing so, he said millions can be expected to join Google+ a day.

"(Google) Chairman Eric Schmidt says the vision is to integrate Circles and sharing with all the other Google properties. When that happens, you will likely see millions of people joining Google+ every day for some period of time," he said.

Meanwhile, Allen hinted he is considering tracking the following trends over time:

  • Percentage of active Facebook users who say Facebook is their favorite social network
  • Percentage of active Facebook users who have heard of Google+ and who have tried it
  • Percentage of active Google+ users who say Google+ is their favorite social network
  • Percentage of active Twitter users who say Twitter is their favorite social network
  • Average number of people in circles
  • Average number of public posts per user per day
  • Male/Female ratio

A separate article on Mashable noted Allen had estimated Google+ hitting the 10-million-user mark July 12 or 13, days before Google CEO Larry Page confirmed the 10-million mark.

Mashable also noted Google+'s most followed user, Mark Zuckerberg, now has more than 250,000 followers, "despite not posting a single public item on his Google+ account." — TJD, GMA News
 
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